Quantifying the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff from the Laohahe basin in northern China using three different methods     

Shanhu Jiang  Liliang Ren  Bin Yong  V. P. Singh  Xiaoli Yang  Fei Yuan 《水文研究》2011,25(16):2492-2505

Much attention has recently been focused on the effects that climate variability and human activities have had on runoff. In this study, these effects are quantified using three methods, namely, multi‐regression, hydrologic sensitivity analysis, and hydrologic model simulation. A conceptual framework is defined to separate the effects. As an example, the change in annual runoff from the semiarid Laohahe basin (18 112 km²) in northern China was investigated. Non‐parametric Mann‐Kendall test, Pettitt test, and precipitation‐runoff double cumulative curve method were adopted to identify the trends and change‐points in the annual runoff from 1964 to 2008 by first dividing the long‐term runoff series into a natural period (1964–1979) and a human‐induced period (1980–2008). Then the three quantifying methods were calibrated and calculated, and they provided consistent estimates of the percentage change in mean annual runoff for the human‐induced period. In 1980–2008, human activities were the main factors that reduced runoff with contributions of 89–93%, while the reduction percentages due to changes in precipitation and potential evapotranspiration only ranged from 7 to 11%. For the various effects at different durations, human activities were the main reasons runoff decreased during the two drier periods of 1980–1989 and 2000–2008. Increased runoff during the wetter period of 1990–1999 is mainly attributed to climate variability. This study quantitatively separates the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff, which can serve as a reference for regional water resources assessment and management. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

月球雨海盆地多环结构的厘定及其深部构造研究     

王庆龙  刘建忠  郭弟均  籍进柱  刘敬稳  王俊涛  罗林 《地学前缘》2018,25(1):297-313

雨海盆地是月球正面最大、月球上研究程度最高的多环结构撞击盆地,已有很多学者对其多环结构的边界进行恢复研究,但在多环结构最初始形状、多环位置/数量、盆地大小等方面,至今未能达成共识。本文利用GRAIL自由空气重力异常数据、LOLA激光测高数据进行了多源数据的融合,结果表明,雨海盆地是具有偏心圆的三环结构特点,其直径从外到内分别为1 500 km、1 100 km、665 km。基于欧拉反演结果研究表明,在雨海撞击盆地中部存在两种不同深度、构造运动性质及方向的断裂构造,即：(1)深度大于40 km,向下逐渐向内倾斜、延伸的深部断裂构造;(2)深度在40 km以内,由月表向下逐渐向外倾斜、延伸的浅部断裂构造。结合物质成分及地球物理特征的研究,雨海地区的地质构造演化过程可分为两个阶段：(1)在月球早期阶段(45~38.5亿年),主要以内动力地质作用即岩浆洋冷凝过程为主,形成了雨海盆地深度在40 km以下逐渐向内倾斜、延伸的构造断裂,其为本区在月球早期深部岩浆洋产生、分异及运移提供了通道,该构造断裂代表了雨海盆地撞击前的月球早期深部岩浆洋的构造地质演化阶段;(2)在月球晚期阶段(≤38.5亿年),主要以内、外动力地质作用并重,形成了雨海盆地深度在40 km以内逐渐向外倾斜、延伸的构造断裂,其应为本区不同期次的玄武质岩浆喷出或溢流到月表提供了运移通道,该构造断裂代表了雨海盆地撞击后的月球晚期不同期次玄武质岩浆喷发、充填溢流的月海岩浆活动作用的构造地质演化阶段。  相似文献   

Coming to the table: Early stakeholder engagement in marine spatial planning   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Morgan Gopnik  Clare Fieseler  Laura Cantral  Kate McClellan  Linwood Pendleton  Larry Crowder 《Marine Policy》2012

From 2009 to 2011, marine spatial planning (MSP) rapidly gained visibility in the United States as a promising ocean management tool. A few small-scale planning efforts were completed in state waters, and the Obama Administration proposed a framework for large-scale regional MSP throughout the U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone. During that same time period, the authors engaged a variety of U.S ocean stakeholders in a series of dialogs with several goals: to share information about what MSP is or could be, to hear stakeholder views and concerns about MSP, and to foster better understanding between those who depend on ocean resources for their livelihood and ocean conservation advocates. The stakeholder meetings were supplemented with several rounds of in-depth interviews and a survey. Despite some predictable areas of conflict, project participants agreed on a number of issues related to stakeholder engagement in MSP: all felt strongly that government planners need to engage outsiders earlier, more often, more meaningfully, and through an open and transparent process. Equally important, the project affirmed the value of bringing unlike parties together at the earliest opportunity to learn, talk, and listen to others with whom they rarely engage.  相似文献   

成都气象数据库监控系统的设计与实现          下载免费PDF全文

张宇 《高原山地气象研究》2014,34(1):86-89

本文介绍了民航西南地区空中交通管理局气象中心数据库室在长期的设备维护过程中,根据自身的工作经验,设计和实现的气象数据库监控系统。这套系统的设计目的是为了减轻数据库系统维护人员的工作压力,让维护人员能够第一时间发现系统隐患或问题。本系统在VS2008下用C#语言进行实现,并同时结合面向对象的编程理念和采用了多线程技术。   相似文献   

Kinematic transformations for planar multi‐directional pseudodynamic testing     

Oya Mercan  James M. Ricles  Richard Sause  Thomas Marullo 《地震工程与结构动力学》2009,38(9):1093-1119

The pseudodynamic (PSD) test method imposes command displacements to a test structure for a given time step. The measured restoring forces and displaced position achieved in the test structure are then used to integrate the equations of motion to determine the command displacements for the next time step. Multi‐directional displacements of the test structure can introduce error in the measured restoring forces and displaced position. The subsequently determined command displacements will not be correct unless the effects of the multi‐directional displacements are considered. This paper presents two approaches for correcting kinematic errors in planar multi‐directional PSD testing, where the test structure is loaded through a rigid loading block. The first approach, referred to as the incremental kinematic transformation method, employs linear displacement transformations within each time step. The second method, referred to as the total kinematic transformation method, is based on accurate nonlinear displacement transformations. Using three displacement sensors and the trigonometric law of cosines, this second method enables the simultaneous nonlinear equations that express the motion of the loading block to be solved without using iteration. The formulation and example applications for each method are given. Results from numerical simulations and laboratory experiments show that the total transformation method maintains accuracy, while the incremental transformation method may accumulate error if the incremental rotation of the loading block is not small over the time step. A procedure for estimating the incremental error in the incremental kinematic transformation method is presented as a means to predict and possibly control the error. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

科学合作地域倾向性研究——以中国雾霾研究为例     

王双  陈毓芬  袁烨城  李伟  王成舜 《地球信息科学学报》2017,19(2):248-255

科学合作是促进知识传播和共享的重要途径,已有研究表明,地理因素是影响科学合作的主要因素之一。然而,目前针对该问题的研究大多只是从科学计量学的角度,对科学合作强度与地理距离的函数关系进行描述,无法揭示科学合作在空间上的分布特征和内部差异性。因此,本文从地理学的角度,以中国雾霾研究的合作网络为例,通过对文献题录中的位置信息进行解析,将虚拟的科学合作网络映射到地理合作网络。在此基础上,提出了一种考虑地理距离的科学合作网络社区发现方法,挖掘科学合作网络中蕴含的空间聚类特征,从而对科学合作的地域倾向性进行反映。通过比较发现,基于合作频次与地理距离的社区发现算法,能够使社区内部的平均地理距离最小而合作强度最大,既反映了科学合作在地理上的近似性,又体现了科学合作强度特征。该方法能够直观地揭示科学合作中隐含的空间分布模式和联系,对其他复杂网络的地理社区划分也有一定的借鉴意义。  相似文献   

GIS MCE技术在农业气象灾害风险评价中的应用     

薛丰昌 《气象》2012,38(9):1140-1144

气象灾害风险评价涉及多源、多维、多尺度空间数据与社会经济统计数据,对应用GIS结合MCE技术进行农业气象灾害风险评价进行了研究。利用特尔菲专家测定法建立评价准则,利用空间划分技术建立评价单元,利用属性值空间化技术实现对气象灾害影响因素空间分布特征进行描述,以空间叠置计算获得多准则条件下空间单元决策目标分值,从而实现区域气象灾害风险区划。研究表明,GIS结合MCE技术能够较好地整合与气象灾害风险评价相关的各类空间数据和社会统计数据,实现气象灾害风险的定量化评价。以冰雪灾害致灾因子评价为例,证明以上技术方法具有可行性。  相似文献   

Efficient Bayesian sensor placement algorithm for structural identification: a general approach for multi‐type sensory systems          下载免费PDF全文

Ka‐Veng Yuen  Sin‐Chi Kuok 《地震工程与结构动力学》2015,44(5):757-774

In this paper, a Bayesian sequential sensor placement algorithm, based on the robust information entropy, is proposed for multi‐type of sensors. The presented methodology has two salient features. It is a holistic approach such that the overall performance of various types of sensors at different locations is assessed. Therefore, it provides a rational and effective strategy to design the sensor configuration, which optimizes the use of various available resources. This sequential algorithm is very efficient due to its Bayesian nature, in which prior distribution can be incorporated. Therefore, it avoids the possible unidentifiability problem encountered in a sequential process, which starts with small number of sensors. The proposed algorithm is demonstrated using a shear building and a lattice tower with consideration of up to four types of sensors. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

‘Box‐Profile’ Ion Implants as Geochemical Reference Materials for Electron Probe Microanalysis and Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry     

Haosheng Wu  Roman Bttger  Frdric Couffignal  Jens Gutzmer  Joachim Krause  Frans Munnik  Axel D. Renno  Ren Hübner  Michael Wiedenbeck  Ren Ziegenrücker 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2019,43(4):531-541

Although electron probe microanalysis and secondary ion mass spectrometry are widely used analytical techniques for geochemical and mineralogical applications, metrologically rigorous quantification remains a major challenge for these methods. Secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) in particular is a matrix‐sensitive method, and the use of matrix‐matched reference materials (RMs) is essential to avoid significant analytical bias. A major problem is that the number of available RMs for SIMS is extremely small compared with the needs of analysts. One approach for the production of matrix‐specific RMs is the use of high‐energy ion implantation that introduces a known amount of a selected isotope into a material. We chose the more elaborate way of implanting a so‐called ‘box‐profile’ to generate a quasi‐homogeneous concentration of the implanted isotope in three dimensions, which allows RMs not only to be used for ion beam analysis but also makes them suitable for EPMA. For proof of concept, we used the thoroughly studied mineralogically and chemically ‘simple’ SiO₂ system. We implanted either ⁴⁷Ti or ⁴⁸Ti into synthetic, ultra‐high‐purity silica glass. Several ‘box‐profiles’ with mass fractions between 10 and 1000 μg g^?1 Ti and maximum depths of homogeneous Ti distribution between 200 nm and 3 μm were produced at the Institute of Ion Beam Physics and Materials Research of Helmholtz‐Zentrum Dresden‐Rossendorf. Multiple implantation steps using varying ion energies and ion doses were simulated with Stopping and Range of Ions in Matter (SRIM) software, optimising for the target concentrations, implantation depths and technical limits of the implanter. We characterised several implant test samples having different concentrations and maximum implantation depths by means of SIMS and other analytical techniques. The results show that the implant samples are suitable for use as reference materials for SIMS measurements. The multi‐energy ion implantation technique also appears to be a promising procedure for the production of EPMA‐suitable reference materials.  相似文献   

业务协同视角下基于GIS的“五规融合”平台   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

陈真  王萌  张栋梁 《测绘通报》2017,(7):124-128

以建立统一空间规划体系为目标,近年来全国各地相继开展了多规融合探索。要从根本上解决多规融合问题,核心是要解决多规涉及部门间的业务协同。本文基于业务协同研究,结合珠海市实际,探索提出了“五规融合”数据共享、规划编制协同、项目策划生成等业务协同机制,并以GIS技术为基础,对“五规融合”平台建设的设计思路与功能实现进行了探讨。  相似文献